Project

Projections of Future Coral Reef Communities in DOI-Managed Coastal Areas in the Hawaiian Islands

Project Summary

Affiliation(s): Pacific Islands CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
  • Erik Franklin (University of Hawai`i at Manoa)

The conditions of coral reefs in the Hawaiian Islands are predicted to decline significantly from climate change over the next 100 years. To better prepare for the impacts of climate change on Hawaiian reefs, the research team uses a system of models to simulate ocean waves and circulation, rainfall and storm run-off, and coral reef community dynamics through the year 2100. These models will identify reef areas that are either vulnerable or resilient to the many stressors that the future may hold for reefs. The team’s hope is that this work can identify areas that might benefit from management actions to minimize local stressors such as land-based pollution. Through a collaborative partnership with state and federal resource managers as part of the project, this research will directly provide scientific knowledge to support planning for climate disturbances and the interpretation of climate change science for the general public. 

Affiliation(s): Pacific Islands CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
  • Erik Franklin (University of Hawai`i at Manoa)
Co-Investigator(s):
  • Robert Toonen (University of Hawai`i at Manoa-Hawai’I Institute of Marine Biology)
Cooperator(s)/Partner(s):
  • Curt D Storlazzi (US Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center)
  • Li H. Erikson (US Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center)
  • Eric Treml (University of Melbourne)
  • Emma Anders (Hawai`i Division of Aquatic Resources)
  • Eric Brown (National Park Service)
  • Malia Chow (NOAA Hawaiian Islands Humpback Whale National Marine Sanctuary)
  • Matthew Gonser (UH Sea Grant)
  • Jessica Melbourne-Thomas (Australian Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre)
  • Heather Kerkering (Pacific Islands Ocean Observing System-UH Manoa)
  • Jim Potemra (Pacific Islands Ocean Observing System-UH Manoa)
  • Jeffrey Maynard (Maynard Marine Inc.)
  • Chip Fletcher (UH Manoa)
  • Oliver Timm (UH Manoa)
  • Delwyn Oki (USGS)
  • Rich MacKenzie (USDA Forestry Service)

Start Date: September 2013

End Date: January 2016

Project Status: In Progress

Tags: CSC, Pacific Islands CSC, 2013, Coral Reef Ecosystem Dynamics, Climate Scenario Models, Hawaiian Islands, Water and Ice, Coral Reefs

Fiscal Year: FY 2013 Projects