Project

Very High Resolution Climate Projections for the Islands of O‘ahu and Kaua‘i

Project Summary

Affiliation(s): Pacific Islands CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
  • Yuqing Wang (University of Hawai`i at Manoa)

The Hawaiian Islands are home to many people and host a rich diversity of unique plant and animal life, but they are especially vulnerable to the effects of climate change because of their small size, geographical remoteness, and exposure to threats such as sea-level rise and increased storm surge. Developing predictions of future conditions is often the first step in helping decision makers and communities plan for change. However, to date, available global climate models have been too coarse in resolution to be useful for planning in the context of small, isolated islands.

This project produced very high resolution climate projections for the Hawaiian islands of O‘ahu and Kaua‘i, providing information on key variables of interest to decision makers such as rainfall, air temperature, and tropical cyclone patterns. Modeling results suggest that in addition to becoming significantly warmer, the islands are expected to experience an increasing number of heavy rainfall events and tropical cyclones through the current century. These data will aid local decision makers as they plan for impacts to human health, infrastructure, and ecosystems and seek to reduce risk through effective adaptation.

View of Oahu North Shore - Public Domain

Affiliation(s): Pacific Islands CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
  • Yuqing Wang (University of Hawai`i at Manoa)
Co-Investigator(s):
  • Kevin Hamilton (UH Manoa)
Cooperator(s)/Partner(s):
  • Kirsten Oleson (UH Manoa)
  • Axel Lauer (Institute of Advanced Sustainability Studies, Germany)

Start Date: August 2013

End Date: September 2015

Project Status: Completed

Tags: CSC, Pacific Islands CSC, 2013, Dynamical Downscaling, Very Fine Resolution, Oahu, Hawai'i, Climate Change Scenarios, Education, Modeling and Tools, Climate and Ecosystem Modeling

Fiscal Year: FY 2013 Projects

Publications & Other

  • A Statistical Analysis of the Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change over the Western North Pacific

      • Dynamical Downscaling of the Climate for the Hawaiian Islands. Part I: Present Day

          • Dynamical Downscaling of the Climate for the Hawaiian Islands. Part II: Projection for the Late Twenty-First Century

              • Final Project Report - Very Fine Resolution Dynamical Downscaling of Past and Future Climates for Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Islands of O`ahu and Kaua`i

                • PICSC Final Report Wang DD_Oahu&Kauai 2016 11 17.pdf (Download)
                  • Project Snapshot: Very Fine Resolution Dynamical Downscaling of Past and Future Climates for Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Islands of O`ahu and Kaua`i

                    • PICSC_ResearchFeature_Wang_DownscaleHawaiiClimate.pdf (Download)

                    Data