Project

Establishing Climate Change Vulnerability Rankings for Hawaiian Native Plants

Project Summary

Affiliation(s): Pacific Islands CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
  • Lucas Fortini (Pacific Island Ecosystems Research Center (PIERC))

Hawaiʻi is considered a worldwide biodiversity hotspot, with nearly 90 percent of its native plants found nowhere else in the world. However, about half of these native plants are imperiled by threats including human development, non-native species, and climate change. Through this project, scientists modeled the relative vulnerability of over 1,000 native plant species to the effects of climate change. A panel of experts in Hawaiian plant species assisted with the development of the model and verified its results. From the model, researchers were able to develop a vulnerability score for each plant species and identify categories of species with high, medium, and low vulnerability to climate change. This information will be highly useful to resource managers as they seek to effectively allocate limited resources toward the protection of habitat for native plants and set priorities for future work.

This project funded advancement and application of work that was sponsored by the Pacific Islands Climate Change Cooperative in prior years.

Affiliation(s): Pacific Islands CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
  • Lucas Fortini (Pacific Island Ecosystems Research Center (PIERC))
Cooperator(s)/Partner(s):
  • James Jacobi (U.S. Geological Survey)
  • Jonathan Price (University of Hawai`i at Hilo)
  • Sam 'Ohukani'ohi'a Gon III (The Nature Conservancy)
  • Adam Vorsino (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service)
  • Gregory Koob (USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service)
  • Eben Paxton (U.S. Geological Survey)
  • Ann Sakai (University of California at Irvine)
  • Kevin Brinck (U.S. Geological Survey)

Start Date: July 2013

End Date: July 2016

Project Status: Completed

Tags: CSC, Pacific Islands CSC, 2013, Bayesian Network Model, Landscape Vulnerability, Species Traits, Wildlife and Plants, Education, Modeling and Tools, Plants, Climate and Ecosystem Modeling

Fiscal Year: FY 2013 Projects

Publications & Other

  • Final Project Report for "Expanding a Dynamic Model of Species Vulnerability to Climate Change for Hawai`i and Other Pacific Island Ecosystems"

    • PICSC Final Report Fortini Hawaii_PlantVulnerability 2016 11 09.pdf (Download)
      • Project Snapshot: Expanding a Dynamic Model of Species Vulnerability to Climate Change for Hawai`i and Other Pacific Island Ecosystems

        • PICSCResearchFeature_Fortini_HawaiianPlant_VA.pdf (Download)

        Data