Display Project

Integrated Scenarios of Climate, Hydrology, and Vegetation for the Northwest (Funded Jointly by the Northwest CSC and NOAA’s Climate Impacts Research Consortium)

Project Information

Affiliation: Northwest CSC, NOAA’s Climate Impacts Research Consortium

Principal Investigator(s):
Philip Mote (Oregon State University)
John Abatzoglou (University of Idaho)
Dennis P Lettenmaier (University of Washington)
David Turner (Oregon State University)
David E Rupp (Oregon State University)
Dominique Bachelet (Conservation Biology Institute)
Nicholas Coops (University of British Columbia)
John Kim (U.S. Forest Service)
Tim Sheehan (Oregon State University)
Ken Ferschweiler (Conservation Biology Institute)
Katherine Hegewisch (University of Idaho)
Bart Nijssen (U.S. Geological Survey)
Matt Stumbaugh (University of Washington)

Start Date: 2011

End Date: 2013

Project Status: In Progress

Tags: Climate change, Hydrology, vegetation, Predictive modeling, CSC, Northwest CSC, 2012

Fiscal Year: FY 2012 Projects


Environmental changes, caused by climate change and landscape transformation, such as habitat degradation and the arrival of competitive invasive species, can strain the delivery of natural resources, push rare plants and animals towards extinction, and pose a direct challenge to resource managers. As scientists work to understand and predict the effects of climate change, foundational pieces of knowledge they require are how climate, vegetation, and the water cycle will change in the future. This project will integrate, for the first time, state-of-the-science predictive models of these environmental attributes of the Northwest U.S. The resulting datasets will be compatible with other hydrological and ecological modeling projects and will ultimately lead to a next-generation climate change framework that allows land managers to identify potentially vulnerable areas, prioritize investment in projects to increase the resilience of forests and grasslands, and incorporate projected changes in fire danger into development of water and forest management plans, state forest assessments, and other strategic land management plans.

As part of this project, a workshop was held on April 17, 2014 to 1) give an overview of project results including best estimates of what the future will look like in the region 2) provide more detailed results for climate, vegetation, and hydrologic futures 3) provide detailed instructions on how to access the digital data and 4) solicit input on next steps for making these scenarios more useable. Recorded presentations from this workshop can be found below, along with publications and other products from this project.

Products & Data
  • CMIP5 MC2 results

    CMIP5 MC2 results (External URL)
  • Climate Change & Ecosystems: Simulating Vegetation & Fire Response for the Western US

    Recorded Presentation (Speaker: Dr. Dominique Bachelet and Tim Sheehan, Conservation Biology Institute) (External URL)
  • Climate Change & Hydrology in the Northwest: Understanding, Using and Accessing the Data

    Recorded Presentation (Speaker: Dr. Bart Nijssen, University of Washington) (External URL)
  • Climate Change & Water Resources/Hydrology in the Northwest

    Recorded Presentation (Speaker: Dr. Dennis Lettenmaier, University of Washington) (External URL)
  • Climate Change Projections for the Northwest

    Recorded Presentation (Speaker: Dr. David Rupp, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute) (External URL)
  • Climate Change Projections: Understanding, Using and Accessing the Data

    Recorded Presentation (Speaker: Dr. John Abatzoglou, University of Idaho) (External URL)
  • Comparing CMIP5 and CMIP3 for the Pacific Northwest

    Two-page Information Sheet (External URL)
  • DRECP Climate Data

    Climate and Vegetation Data (External URL)
  • Evaluation of CMIP5 20th century climate simulations for the Pacific Northwest USA

    Abstract Text Link (External URL)
    Full Text Link (External URL)
    Publication PDF (External URL)
  • Future Climate, Vegetation, and Hydrology in the Northwest

    Recorded Presentation (Speaker: Dr. Philip Mote, Director, Oregon Climate Change Research Institute) (External URL)
  • Integrated Climate Scenarios Visualizations

    Integrated Climate Scenarios Visualizations - Conservation Biology Institute Website (External URL)
  • Integrated Scenarios Project Website

    Link to Project Website (External URL)
  • Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs(MACA) Statistical Downscaling Method

    Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs(MACA) Statistical Downscaling Method (External URL)
  • Seasonal Climate Variability and Change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States

    Abatzoglou et al., 2014 (External URL)
  • Tracking Interannual Streamflow Variability with Drought Indices in the U.S. Pacific Northwest

    Abatzoglou et al. 2014 (External URL)
Map Files

Download all map files

  • SpatialExtentW103.shp [x-gis/x-shapefile] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.dbf [application/octet-stream] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.shx [x-gis/x-shapefile] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.prj [text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.shp.xml [application/fgdc+xml] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.sbn [x-gis/x-shapefile] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.sbx [x-gis/x-shapefile] (Download)
  • SpatialExtentW103.cpg [text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1] (Download)
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