Display Project

Climate change impacts in the Southwest: An assessment of next generation climate models for making projections and derivations

Project Information

Affiliation: Southwest CSC

Principal Investigator(s):
Mark Schwartz (University of California, Davis; John Muir Institute of the Environment)
Co-Investigator(s):
Daniel R Cayan (USGS Branch of Regional Research, Western Region)
Sasha Gershunov (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego; U.S. Geological Survey National Research Program)
Mike Dettinger (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego; U.S. Geological Survey National Research Program)
Alex Hall (University of California, Los Angeles)

Start Date: September 2011

End Date: December 2012

Project Status: In Progress

Tags: climate change, climate models, downscale, model, simulation, AR4, AR5, temperature, precipitation, extreme events, ecosystem impacts, assessment, water deficit, fire, hydrology, river, ecology, GCM, BCCA, coastal, soil, moisture, outreach, Multiple, Southwest, Federal, CSC, Southwest CSC, 2011

Fiscal Year: FY 2011 Projects

Summary

The goal of this project was to: (a) archive the relevant AR5 model output data for the southwest region; (b) downscale daily temperature and precipitation to 12 X 12 km cell spatial resolution over the Southwest; (c) assess the precision (degree of agreement) of the simulated models; (d) assess the direction and magnitude of change in projections between AR4 and AR5, as well as assess projections of key extreme climatic events (i.e., extreme drought, extreme seasonal precipitation, extreme high and low temperature events); and (e) assess critical ecosystem impacts (i.e., climate water deficit and fire; hydrological condition of major river systems; impacts on highly valued species).

Products & Data
  • Multiple sources of uncertainty affect metrics for ranking conservation risk under climate change

    Wright et al. 2014 (External URL)
  • Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models

    Polade et al., 2013 (External URL)
  • The Impact of Recent Heat Waves on Human Health in California

    Guirguis et al., 2014 (External URL)
  • The Uneven Response of Different Snow Measures to Human-Induced Climate Warming

    Pierce and Cayan, 2013 (External URL)
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